{
  "methodology": "Past 99 realized months per region, top-5 picks by model score vs their actual forward_return_h (\u224821-session forward return). Hit rate = fraction of top picks that actually went up. Excess = top-picks mean return \u2212 all-stocks mean return that month. If the model is NULL (rank-IC \u22120.0088), hit rate \u2248 base rate and excess \u2248 0. This is the honest 'prediction vs reality' audit.",
  "months": [
    {
      "month": "2021-01-29",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "FTI",
          "name": "TechnipFMC plc",
          "score": 1.847,
          "realized_return": 0.1286,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "FCX",
          "name": "FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC",
          "score": 1.47,
          "realized_return": 0.3073,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "FANG",
          "name": "Diamondback Energy, Inc.",
          "score": 1.277,
          "realized_return": 0.2526,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "MGM",
          "name": "MGM Resorts International",
          "score": 1.235,
          "realized_return": 0.3497,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "HAL",
          "name": "HALLIBURTON CO",
          "score": 1.102,
          "realized_return": 0.2655,
          "hit": true
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": 0.2607,
      "base_mean_return": 0.0794,
      "excess": 0.1813
    },
    {
      "month": "2021-02-26",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "FCX",
          "name": "FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC",
          "score": 1.764,
          "realized_return": -0.0534,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "APA",
          "name": "APA Corp",
          "score": 1.464,
          "realized_return": -0.0897,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "HAL",
          "name": "HALLIBURTON CO",
          "score": 1.312,
          "realized_return": -0.0273,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "VLO",
          "name": "VALERO ENERGY CORP/TX",
          "score": 1.206,
          "realized_return": -0.0687,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "URI",
          "name": "UNITED RENTALS, INC.",
          "score": 1.054,
          "realized_return": 0.0899,
          "hit": true
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": -0.0298,
      "base_mean_return": 0.0586,
      "excess": -0.0884
    },
    {
      "month": "2021-03-31",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "APA",
          "name": "APA Corp",
          "score": 1.909,
          "realized_return": 0.1189,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "FCX",
          "name": "FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC",
          "score": 1.839,
          "realized_return": 0.1475,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "TSLA",
          "name": "Tesla, Inc.",
          "score": 1.687,
          "realized_return": 0.0626,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "OXY",
          "name": "OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/",
          "score": 1.631,
          "realized_return": -0.0473,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "NCLH",
          "name": "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.",
          "score": 1.611,
          "realized_return": 0.1254,
          "hit": true
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": 0.0814,
      "base_mean_return": 0.0478,
      "excess": 0.0337
    },
    {
      "month": "2021-04-30",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "NCLH",
          "name": "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.",
          "score": 2.002,
          "realized_return": 0.0551,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "FCX",
          "name": "FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC",
          "score": 1.593,
          "realized_return": 0.1724,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "ENPH",
          "name": "Enphase Energy, Inc.",
          "score": 1.412,
          "realized_return": 0.0014,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "OXY",
          "name": "OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/",
          "score": 1.375,
          "realized_return": 0.1226,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "HAL",
          "name": "HALLIBURTON CO",
          "score": 1.361,
          "realized_return": 0.1962,
          "hit": true
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": 0.1095,
      "base_mean_return": 0.024,
      "excess": 0.0855
    },
    {
      "month": "2021-05-28",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "OXY",
          "name": "OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/",
          "score": 1.67,
          "realized_return": 0.2061,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "FCX",
          "name": "FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC",
          "score": 1.368,
          "realized_return": -0.1276,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "PENN",
          "name": "PENN Entertainment, Inc.",
          "score": 1.262,
          "realized_return": -0.0698,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "WEC",
          "name": "WEC ENERGY GROUP, INC.",
          "score": 1.111,
          "realized_return": -0.0511,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "SWKS",
          "name": "SKYWORKS SOLUTIONS, INC.",
          "score": 1.018,
          "realized_return": 0.1228,
          "hit": true
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": 0.0161,
      "base_mean_return": -0.0008,
      "excess": 0.0169
    },
    {
      "month": "2021-06-30",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "ENPH",
          "name": "Enphase Energy, Inc.",
          "score": 1.043,
          "realized_return": 0.0325,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "TSLA",
          "name": "Tesla, Inc.",
          "score": 0.82,
          "realized_return": 0.0114,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "FCX",
          "name": "FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC",
          "score": 0.634,
          "realized_return": 0.0289,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "ETSY",
          "name": "ETSY INC",
          "score": 0.441,
          "realized_return": -0.1085,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "PENN",
          "name": "PENN Entertainment, Inc.",
          "score": 0.439,
          "realized_return": -0.106,
          "hit": false
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": -0.0283,
      "base_mean_return": 0.0138,
      "excess": -0.0422
    },
    {
      "month": "2021-07-30",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "FANG",
          "name": "Diamondback Energy, Inc.",
          "score": 2.004,
          "realized_return": -0.0054,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "APA",
          "name": "APA Corp",
          "score": 1.297,
          "realized_return": -0.0048,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "OXY",
          "name": "OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/",
          "score": 1.085,
          "realized_return": -0.0326,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "NOV",
          "name": "NOV Inc.",
          "score": 1.065,
          "realized_return": -0.0397,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "FCX",
          "name": "FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC",
          "score": 1.039,
          "realized_return": -0.0383,
          "hit": false
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": -0.0242,
      "base_mean_return": 0.0226,
      "excess": -0.0468
    },
    {
      "month": "2021-08-31",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "DXC",
          "name": "DXC Technology Co",
          "score": 1.188,
          "realized_return": -0.0847,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "HAL",
          "name": "HALLIBURTON CO",
          "score": 1.039,
          "realized_return": 0.0807,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "NOV",
          "name": "NOV Inc.",
          "score": 0.738,
          "realized_return": -0.0033,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "OGN",
          "name": "Organon & Co.",
          "score": 0.682,
          "realized_return": -0.0325,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "CZR",
          "name": "Caesars Entertainment, Inc.",
          "score": 0.639,
          "realized_return": 0.1044,
          "hit": true
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": 0.0129,
      "base_mean_return": -0.0397,
      "excess": 0.0526
    },
    {
      "month": "2021-09-30",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "WDC",
          "name": "WESTERN DIGITAL CORP",
          "score": 2.099,
          "realized_return": -0.0744,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "FCX",
          "name": "FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC",
          "score": 1.558,
          "realized_return": 0.1619,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "ENPH",
          "name": "Enphase Energy, Inc.",
          "score": 1.365,
          "realized_return": 0.5445,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "DVN",
          "name": "DEVON ENERGY CORP/DE",
          "score": 1.148,
          "realized_return": 0.1287,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "OXY",
          "name": "OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/",
          "score": 1.064,
          "realized_return": 0.1335,
          "hit": true
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": 0.1788,
      "base_mean_return": 0.055,
      "excess": 0.1238
    },
    {
      "month": "2021-10-29",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "NVDA",
          "name": "NVIDIA CORP",
          "score": 1.195,
          "realized_return": 0.2801,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "FCX",
          "name": "FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC",
          "score": 1.088,
          "realized_return": -0.017,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "TSLA",
          "name": "Tesla, Inc.",
          "score": 1.041,
          "realized_return": 0.0273,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "ENPH",
          "name": "Enphase Energy, Inc.",
          "score": 0.919,
          "realized_return": 0.0793,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "DVN",
          "name": "DEVON ENERGY CORP/DE",
          "score": 0.785,
          "realized_return": 0.0494,
          "hit": true
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": 0.0838,
      "base_mean_return": -0.0233,
      "excess": 0.1072
    },
    {
      "month": "2021-11-30",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "PYPL",
          "name": "PayPal Holdings, Inc.",
          "score": 1.379,
          "realized_return": 0.0378,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "ENPH",
          "name": "Enphase Energy, Inc.",
          "score": 1.296,
          "realized_return": -0.2544,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "FCX",
          "name": "FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC",
          "score": 1.288,
          "realized_return": 0.1224,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "PENN",
          "name": "PENN Entertainment, Inc.",
          "score": 1.065,
          "realized_return": 0.0014,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "NCLH",
          "name": "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.",
          "score": 0.964,
          "realized_return": 0.0785,
          "hit": true
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": -0.0029,
      "base_mean_return": 0.0636,
      "excess": -0.0665
    },
    {
      "month": "2021-12-31",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "NCLH",
          "name": "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.",
          "score": 1.757,
          "realized_return": 0.0417,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "ETSY",
          "name": "ETSY INC",
          "score": 1.466,
          "realized_return": -0.305,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "CZR",
          "name": "Caesars Entertainment, Inc.",
          "score": 1.168,
          "realized_return": -0.1359,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "ENPH",
          "name": "Enphase Energy, Inc.",
          "score": 0.965,
          "realized_return": -0.2201,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "PTC",
          "name": "PTC INC.",
          "score": 0.875,
          "realized_return": -0.0413,
          "hit": false
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": -0.1321,
      "base_mean_return": -0.0397,
      "excess": -0.0924
    },
    {
      "month": "2022-01-31",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "TECH",
          "name": "BIO-TECHNE Corp",
          "score": 1.652,
          "realized_return": 0.1264,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "ALGN",
          "name": "ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC",
          "score": 1.4,
          "realized_return": 0.0024,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "WDC",
          "name": "WESTERN DIGITAL CORP",
          "score": 1.234,
          "realized_return": 0.0023,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "DXCM",
          "name": "DEXCOM INC",
          "score": 1.129,
          "realized_return": -0.0242,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "QCOM",
          "name": "QUALCOMM INC/DE",
          "score": 1.07,
          "realized_return": -0.0332,
          "hit": false
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": 0.0148,
      "base_mean_return": -0.0084,
      "excess": 0.0231
    },
    {
      "month": "2022-02-28",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "NCLH",
          "name": "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.",
          "score": 1.473,
          "realized_return": 0.0873,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "FCX",
          "name": "FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC",
          "score": 1.204,
          "realized_return": 0.0669,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "CZR",
          "name": "Caesars Entertainment, Inc.",
          "score": 1.143,
          "realized_return": -0.0359,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "NXPI",
          "name": "NXP Semiconductors N.V.",
          "score": 1.003,
          "realized_return": 0.0298,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "ALGN",
          "name": "ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC",
          "score": 0.901,
          "realized_return": -0.1144,
          "hit": false
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": 0.0067,
      "base_mean_return": 0.0486,
      "excess": -0.0419
    },
    {
      "month": "2022-03-31",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "CCL",
          "name": "Carnival Corp Ltd.",
          "score": 1.356,
          "realized_return": -0.1412,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "PENN",
          "name": "PENN Entertainment, Inc.",
          "score": 1.326,
          "realized_return": -0.1113,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "MU",
          "name": "MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC",
          "score": 1.037,
          "realized_return": -0.0925,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "MTCH",
          "name": "Match Group, Inc.",
          "score": 1.017,
          "realized_return": -0.2575,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "BBWI",
          "name": "Bath & Body Works, Inc.",
          "score": 0.841,
          "realized_return": 0.136,
          "hit": true
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": -0.0933,
      "base_mean_return": -0.0619,
      "excess": -0.0314
    },
    {
      "month": "2022-04-29",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "NVDA",
          "name": "NVIDIA CORP",
          "score": 1.474,
          "realized_return": 0.0043,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "MTCH",
          "name": "Match Group, Inc.",
          "score": 1.356,
          "realized_return": -0.0046,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "IVZ",
          "name": "Invesco Ltd.",
          "score": 1.302,
          "realized_return": 0.0634,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "TPR",
          "name": "TAPESTRY, INC.",
          "score": 1.113,
          "realized_return": 0.0472,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "PVH",
          "name": "PVH CORP. /DE/",
          "score": 1.057,
          "realized_return": -0.0262,
          "hit": false
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": 0.0168,
      "base_mean_return": 0.0096,
      "excess": 0.0072
    },
    {
      "month": "2022-05-31",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "MGM",
          "name": "MGM Resorts International",
          "score": 2.415,
          "realized_return": -0.1721,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "BBWI",
          "name": "Bath & Body Works, Inc.",
          "score": 2.243,
          "realized_return": -0.3404,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "CCL",
          "name": "Carnival Corp Ltd.",
          "score": 1.914,
          "realized_return": -0.3783,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "CZR",
          "name": "Caesars Entertainment, Inc.",
          "score": 1.35,
          "realized_return": -0.2368,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "PENN",
          "name": "PENN Entertainment, Inc.",
          "score": 1.146,
          "realized_return": -0.0482,
          "hit": false
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": -0.2352,
      "base_mean_return": -0.0924,
      "excess": -0.1427
    },
    {
      "month": "2022-06-30",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "CCL",
          "name": "Carnival Corp Ltd.",
          "score": 1.616,
          "realized_return": 0.0331,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "DVA",
          "name": "DAVITA INC.",
          "score": 1.271,
          "realized_return": 0.0612,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "MPWR",
          "name": "MONOLITHIC POWER SYSTEMS, INC.",
          "score": 1.224,
          "realized_return": 0.2029,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "KLAC",
          "name": "KLA CORP",
          "score": 1.035,
          "realized_return": 0.2086,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "ADSK",
          "name": "Autodesk, Inc.",
          "score": 0.962,
          "realized_return": 0.2686,
          "hit": true
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": 0.1548,
      "base_mean_return": 0.0876,
      "excess": 0.0673
    },
    {
      "month": "2022-07-29",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "ENPH",
          "name": "Enphase Energy, Inc.",
          "score": 1.037,
          "realized_return": 0.0023,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "QCOM",
          "name": "QUALCOMM INC/DE",
          "score": 0.781,
          "realized_return": -0.055,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "NCLH",
          "name": "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.",
          "score": 0.586,
          "realized_return": 0.1155,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "ETSY",
          "name": "ETSY INC",
          "score": 0.565,
          "realized_return": 0.0077,
          "hit": true
        },
        {
          "ticker": "META",
          "name": "Meta Platforms, Inc.",
          "score": 0.543,
          "realized_return": 0.0003,
          "hit": true
        }
      ],
      "top_mean_return": 0.0142,
      "base_mean_return": -0.0172,
      "excess": 0.0314
    },
    {
      "month": "2022-08-31",
      "region": "us",
      "picks": [
        {
          "ticker": "ALGN",
          "name": "ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC",
          "score": 1.778,
          "realized_return": -0.1501,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "TER",
          "name": "TERADYNE, INC",
          "score": 1.681,
          "realized_return": -0.1121,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "AMD",
          "name": "ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC",
          "score": 1.634,
          "realized_return": -0.2534,
          "hit": false
        },
        {
          "ticker": "PENN",
          "name": "PENN Entertainment, Inc.",
          "score": 1.619,
          "realized_return": -0.1191,
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