{
  "latest_date": "2026-08-03",
  "method": "platt",
  "walk_forward": false,
  "regions": {
    "us": {
      "latest_date": "2026-06-30",
      "meta": {
        "region": "us",
        "n_pairs": 30579,
        "base_rate": 0.5353,
        "ece": 0.0075,
        "brier": 0.2483,
        "score_min": -3.402,
        "score_max": 2.881,
        "prob_min": 0.415,
        "prob_max": 0.6099,
        "method": "platt",
        "walk_forward": false
      }
    },
    "cn": {
      "latest_date": "2026-08-03",
      "meta": {
        "region": "cn",
        "n_pairs": 19755,
        "base_rate": 0.4517,
        "ece": 0.0,
        "brier": 0.2477,
        "score_min": -2.237,
        "score_max": 2.513,
        "prob_min": 0.4283,
        "prob_max": 0.4612,
        "method": "platt",
        "walk_forward": false
      }
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "Model-readout probabilities (NOT investment advice). Method: platt calibration on historical OOS (score, realized forward-return) pairs; latest month predicted out-of-sample. Research verdict (ledger #49): combined rank-IC \u22120.0088, NULL \u2014 model discrimination is weak; calibrated probabilities cluster near the base rate. US: 30579-pair calibration, base rate 0.54, calibrated range [0.42, 0.61] (spread 0.19) | CN: 19755-pair calibration, base rate 0.45, calibrated range [0.43, 0.46] (spread 0.03)"
}