Aionis

效度 · 每个预注册主张一张可引用卡（OSAP Signal Browser 的 null 版）

Phase C · 主张卡

world-state surprise bundle (CPI/NFP/VIX/earnings)

-0.006595% CI [-0.0195, 0.0066] · p 0.355 · n=125NULL · CI 跨零zero-LLM

① prereg

docs/phase-c-preregistration.md

2026-07-28

② ledger #30

2026-07-28

confirmatory:first · sig a7fdb48f

④ verify

本机一条命令复核四环链：

uv run python scripts/verify_claim.py C

引用本主张（BibTeX）

@misc{aionis-phase-c-null,
  author       = {{The Aionis Authors}},
  title        = {Aionis Phase C claim: no incremental predictability from world-state surprise bundle (CPI/NFP/VIX/earnings) (null result)},
  year         = {2026},
  month        = jul,
  howpublished = {\url{https://github.com/Rethymus/Aionis}},
  note         = {pre-registered two-tailed claim; ledger row \#30; config sha a7fdb48f5942fae1; differential -0.0065, 95\% CI [-0.0195, 0.0066]; p 0.355; verdict NULL (CI brackets zero)}
}

由 committed 面板确定性生成；也可在 /cite 页一键获取全部主张条目。