Aionis

效度 · 每个预注册主张一张可引用卡（OSAP Signal Browser 的 null 版）

Track C · 主张卡

dual-region joint chronological confirmatory OOS (S&P 500 + CSI 300)

-0.008895% CI [-0.0336, 0.0159] · p 0.484 · n=71NULL · CI 跨零

① prereg

docs/track-c-preregistration.md

2026-08-04

② ledger #49

2026-08-05

confirmatory:first · sig e14b9d44

④ verify

本机一条命令复核四环链：

uv run python scripts/verify_claim.py track_c

引用本主张（BibTeX）

@misc{aionis-track-c-null,
  author       = {{The Aionis Authors}},
  title        = {Aionis Track C claim: no incremental predictability from dual-region joint chronological confirmatory OOS (S\&P 500 + CSI 300) (null result)},
  year         = {2026},
  month        = aug,
  howpublished = {\url{https://github.com/Rethymus/Aionis}},
  note         = {pre-registered two-tailed claim; ledger row \#49; differential -0.0088, 95\% CI [-0.0336, 0.0159]; p 0.484; verdict NULL (CI brackets zero)}
}

由 committed 面板确定性生成；也可在 /cite 页一键获取全部主张条目。