裁决 · 研究结论是什么?

证据墙

跨 14 条预注册配置,没有任何 treatment 臂相对 price-only 基线显示可靠的正向增量 rank-IC。所有置信区间都跨越零。

14

证据墙

1

Confirmatory

6

CV 代理

7

时序/探索

#1CV 代理

Phase B differential

-0.0008CI [-0.0106, 0.0090]
p = 0.870125 mo
#2CV 代理

Phase C differential

-0.0065CI [-0.0195, 0.0066]
p = 0.360125 mo
#3CV 代理

Phase D differential

-0.0030CI [-0.0137, 0.0078]
p = 0.600125 mo
#4CV 代理

Phase E1 differential

-0.0028CI [-0.0115, 0.0059]
p = 0.530125 mo
#5时序/探索

Track B treatment

+0.0055CI [-0.0210, 0.0330]
p = 0.690125 mo
#6时序/探索

Track B differential

+0.0076CI [-0.0040, 0.0200]
p = 0.220125 mo
#7时序/探索

Track C joint combined IC

-0.0070CI [-0.0300, 0.0160]
p = 0.55071 mo
#8时序/探索

Track C conditional-IC beta

-0.0150
p = 0.20071 mo
#9时序/探索

Track C 3-layer cond.-IC

-0.0148
p = 0.21071 mo
#10CV 代理

Baseline-FF5

+0.0106
125 mo
#11CV 代理

Baseline-RANK

+0.0154
p = 0.040125 mo
#13时序/探索

Track C asymmetric-35

-0.0121CI [-0.0350, 0.0110]
p = 0.31071 mo
#14时序/探索

Track C asymmetric-41

-0.0088CI [-0.0340, 0.0160]
p = 0.48071 mo
#15Confirmatory

Track C confirmatory (climax)

-0.0088CI [-0.0340, 0.0160]
p = 0.48071 mo
ledger #49 · frozen config → /discipline