Aionis

证据 · 钱往哪个板块流？

板块利好/利空概率

按板块聚合最新样本外月模型评分 + 校准上涨概率。显示模型当前对哪些板块相对看好/不看好（相对读数，非绝对预测）。

板块数 111最新月份 2026-08-03 · 2026-06-30

相对模型偏好 · 非绝对预测

板块排名反映模型对最新样本外月的相对评分聚合。研究结论为 NULL（rank-IC −0.0088）——板块间差异很小，接近 base rate。这是模型读数的可视化，不是板块预测或投资建议。

模型最看好的板块
按最新月 mean score 降序——相对偏好，非绝对预测。
1
Natural Gas TransmissionP(up) 48.4%
+0.66·3 stocks·us
2
Wholesale-Drugs, Proprietaries & Druggists' SundriesP(up) 48.5%
+0.64·3 stocks·us
3
Electric & Other Services CombinedP(up) 48.5%
+0.63·12 stocks·us
4
Air Transportation, ScheduledP(up) 48.7%
+0.56·3 stocks·us
5
Insurance Agents, Brokers & ServiceP(up) 48.9%
+0.52·5 stocks·us
6
Fire, Marine & Casualty InsuranceP(up) 49.0%
+0.46·11 stocks·us
7
Water TransportationP(up) 49.1%
+0.43·3 stocks·us
8
UnclassifiedP(up) 44.7%
+0.42·51 stocks·cnus
模型最不看好的板块
按最新月 mean score 升序——相对不偏好，非做空信号。
1
State Commercial BanksP(up) 54.5%
-1.28·5 stocks·us
2
证监会: R87广播、电视、电影和录音制作业P(up) 45.3%
-1.12·7 stocks·cn
3
Life InsuranceP(up) 53.9%
-1.09·3 stocks·us
4
National Commercial BanksP(up) 53.9%
-1.08·11 stocks·us
5
证监会: I64互联网和相关服务P(up) 45.3%
-1.08·15 stocks·cn

方法论

Sector aggregation of latest-month OOS model scores + calibrated P(up), per region's own latest PIT-aligned date (US and CN panels may end on different months). US sectors from EDGAR SIC (public domain, industry-level); A-share sectors are CSRC industry classification (证监会行业分类, via baostock — free anonymous API, BSD client; 7-gate: docs/data-intake-baostock-industry.md), falling back to exchange-board tier (科创板/创业板/主板/北交所) where industry is missing. Sectors with <3 stocks dropped. Display-only, NOT a research claim.